Week 17 NFL DFS Blind Spots

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Week 17 NFL DFS Sleepers

In case you’re new to this/me, this sleeper piece aims for contrarian/GPP players, but more importantly, it focuses on matchups to exploit using APA (Adjusted Points Allowed). So, you may see a few “must own” players that are common picks. As for APA, it’s a metric that I created years ago, adjusting for the strength of opponent, etc. Obviously, facing Tom Brady every game would inflate the points allowed versus seeing Nathan Peterman under center. APA does a quality job at evening out the strength of opponents to give you a true Fantasy points allowed average (+/- compared to positional league average).

As always, catch me @allinkid and keep reading to see my 12-pack of DFS sleepers for Week 17.

Quarterback APA

RANK TEAM OPP APA +/- RANK TEAM OPP APA +/-
1 BUF MIA 23.9 +6.8 17 PHI WSH 16.6 -0.5
2 OAK KC 23.8 +6.7 18 BAL CLE 16.2 -0.9
3 LAR SAF 21.2 +4.1 19 DAL NYG 15.9 -1.2
4 KC OAK 21.0 +3.9 20 CAR NO 15.8 -1.3
5 TB ATL 20.8 +3.7 21 HOU JAX 15.7 -1.4
6 NE NYJ 20.3 +3.2 22 LAC DEN 15.4 -1.7
7 WSH PHI 19.9 +2.8 23 CIN PIT 15.1 -2.0
8 PIT CIN 19.4 +2.3 24 TEN IND 15.0 -2.1
9 JAX HOU 19.3 +2.2 25 IND TEN 14.6 -2.5
10 GB DET 19.2 +2.1 26 SEA ARI 14.5 -2.6
11 ATL TB 18.8 +1.7 27 NYG DAL 14.3 -2.8
12 NO CAR 18.6 +1.5 28 MIN CHI 12.4 -4.7
13 NYJ NE 18.5 +1.4 29 CLE BAL 12.2 -4.9
14 ARI SEA 18.5 +1.4 30 DEN LAC 11.6 -5.5
15 DET GB 18.5 +1.4 31 MIA BUF 11.1 -6.0
16 SAF LAR 17.4 +0.3 32 CHI MIN 10.0 -7.1
LEAGUE AVERAGE 17.1 +0.0

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