Week 16 NFL DFS Sleepers

In case you’re new to this/me, this sleeper piece aims for contrarian/GPP players, but more importantly, it focuses on matchups to exploit using APA (Adjusted Points Allowed). So, you may see a few “must own” players that are common picks. As for APA, it’s a metric that I created years ago, adjusting for the strength of opponent, etc. Obviously, facing Tom Brady every game would inflate the points allowed versus seeing Nathan Peterman under center. APA does a quality job at evening out the strength of opponents to give you a true Fantasy points allowed average (+/- compared to positional league average).

As always, catch me @allinkid and keep reading to see my 12-pack of DFS sleepers for Week 16.

Quarterback APA

RANK TEAM OPP APA +/- RANK TEAM OPP APA +/-
1 JAX MIA 23.9 +6.8 17 TEN WSH 16.6 -0.5
2 SEA KC 23.8 +6.7 18 CIN CLE 16.2 -0.9
3 CHI SAF 21.2 +4.1 19 IND NYG 15.9 -1.2
4 DEN OAK 21.0 +3.9 20 PIT NO 15.8 -1.3
5 CAR ATL 20.8 +3.7 21 MIA JAX 15.7 -1.4
6 GB NYJ 20.3 +3.2 22 OAK DEN 15.4 -1.7
7 HOU PHI 19.9 +2.8 23 NO PIT 15.1 -2.0
8 CLE CIN 19.4 +2.3 24 NYG IND 15.0 -2.1
9 PHI HOU 19.3 +2.2 25 WSH TEN 14.6 -2.5
10 MIN DET 19.2 +2.1 26 LAR ARI 14.5 -2.6
11 DAL TB 18.8 +1.7 27 TB DAL 14.3 -2.8
12 ATL CAR 18.6 +1.5 28 SAF CHI 12.4 -4.7
13 BUF NE 18.5 +1.4 29 LAC BAL 12.2 -4.9
14 KC SEA 18.5 +1.4 30 BAL LAC 11.6 -5.5
15 NYJ GB 18.5 +1.4 31 NE BUF 11.1 -6.0
16 ARI LAR 17.4 +0.3 32 DET MIN 10.0 -7.1
LEAGUE AVERAGE 17.1 +0.0

Want to read the rest of this article?

Get the Ultimate DFS Pass from The Fantasy Footballers for instant access.

Already have the DFS Pass? Login to access

Expert Advice, Weekly Picks, Premium Reports, Trusted & Award Winning Weekly Resource

Thoughts on this article? Leave a Comment