Week 16 NFL DFS Blind Spots

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@allinkid

Week 16 NFL DFS Sleepers

In case you’re new to this/me, this sleeper piece aims for contrarian/GPP players, but more importantly, it focuses on matchups to exploit using APA (Adjusted Points Allowed). So, you may see a few “must own” players that are common picks. As for APA, it’s a metric that I created years ago, adjusting for the strength of opponent, etc. Obviously, facing Tom Brady every game would inflate the points allowed versus seeing Nathan Peterman under center. APA does a quality job at evening out the strength of opponents to give you a true Fantasy points allowed average (+/- compared to positional league average).

As always, catch me @allinkid and keep reading to see my 12-pack of DFS sleepers for Week 16.

Quarterback APA

RANK TEAM OPP APA +/- RANK TEAM OPP APA +/-
1 JAX MIA 23.9 +6.8 17 TEN WSH 16.6 -0.5
2 SEA KC 23.8 +6.7 18 CIN CLE 16.2 -0.9
3 CHI SAF 21.2 +4.1 19 IND NYG 15.9 -1.2
4 DEN OAK 21.0 +3.9 20 PIT NO 15.8 -1.3
5 CAR ATL 20.8 +3.7 21 MIA JAX 15.7 -1.4
6 GB NYJ 20.3 +3.2 22 OAK DEN 15.4 -1.7
7 HOU PHI 19.9 +2.8 23 NO PIT 15.1 -2.0
8 CLE CIN 19.4 +2.3 24 NYG IND 15.0 -2.1
9 PHI HOU 19.3 +2.2 25 WSH TEN 14.6 -2.5
10 MIN DET 19.2 +2.1 26 LAR ARI 14.5 -2.6
11 DAL TB 18.8 +1.7 27 TB DAL 14.3 -2.8
12 ATL CAR 18.6 +1.5 28 SAF CHI 12.4 -4.7
13 BUF NE 18.5 +1.4 29 LAC BAL 12.2 -4.9
14 KC SEA 18.5 +1.4 30 BAL LAC 11.6 -5.5
15 NYJ GB 18.5 +1.4 31 NE BUF 11.1 -6.0
16 ARI LAR 17.4 +0.3 32 DET MIN 10.0 -7.1
LEAGUE AVERAGE 17.1 +0.0

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