Week 16 NFL DFS Blind Spots
Week 16 NFL DFS Sleepers
In case you’re new to this/me, this sleeper piece aims for contrarian/GPP players, but more importantly, it focuses on matchups to exploit using APA (Adjusted Points Allowed). So, you may see a few “must own” players that are common picks. As for APA, it’s a metric that I created years ago, adjusting for the strength of opponent, etc. Obviously, facing Tom Brady every game would inflate the points allowed versus seeing Nathan Peterman under center. APA does a quality job at evening out the strength of opponents to give you a true Fantasy points allowed average (+/- compared to positional league average).
As always, catch me @allinkid and keep reading to see my 12-pack of DFS sleepers for Week 16.
Quarterback APA
RANK | TEAM | OPP | APA | +/- | RANK | TEAM | OPP | APA | +/- | |
1 | JAX | MIA | 23.9 | +6.8 | 17 | TEN | WSH | 16.6 | -0.5 | |
2 | SEA | KC | 23.8 | +6.7 | 18 | CIN | CLE | 16.2 | -0.9 | |
3 | CHI | SAF | 21.2 | +4.1 | 19 | IND | NYG | 15.9 | -1.2 | |
4 | DEN | OAK | 21.0 | +3.9 | 20 | PIT | NO | 15.8 | -1.3 | |
5 | CAR | ATL | 20.8 | +3.7 | 21 | MIA | JAX | 15.7 | -1.4 | |
6 | GB | NYJ | 20.3 | +3.2 | 22 | OAK | DEN | 15.4 | -1.7 | |
7 | HOU | PHI | 19.9 | +2.8 | 23 | NO | PIT | 15.1 | -2.0 | |
8 | CLE | CIN | 19.4 | +2.3 | 24 | NYG | IND | 15.0 | -2.1 | |
9 | PHI | HOU | 19.3 | +2.2 | 25 | WSH | TEN | 14.6 | -2.5 | |
10 | MIN | DET | 19.2 | +2.1 | 26 | LAR | ARI | 14.5 | -2.6 | |
11 | DAL | TB | 18.8 | +1.7 | 27 | TB | DAL | 14.3 | -2.8 | |
12 | ATL | CAR | 18.6 | +1.5 | 28 | SAF | CHI | 12.4 | -4.7 | |
13 | BUF | NE | 18.5 | +1.4 | 29 | LAC | BAL | 12.2 | -4.9 | |
14 | KC | SEA | 18.5 | +1.4 | 30 | BAL | LAC | 11.6 | -5.5 | |
15 | NYJ | GB | 18.5 | +1.4 | 31 | NE | BUF | 11.1 | -6.0 | |
16 | ARI | LAR | 17.4 | +0.3 | 32 | DET | MIN | 10.0 | -7.1 | |
LEAGUE AVERAGE | 17.1 | +0.0 |
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