Week 14 NFL DFS Blind Spots

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Week 14 NFL DFS Sleepers

In case you’re new to this/me, this sleeper piece aims for contrarian/GPP players, but more importantly, it focuses on matchups to exploit using APA (Adjusted Points Allowed). So, you may see a few “must own” players that are common picks. As for APA, it’s a metric that I created years ago, adjusting for the strength of opponent, etc. Obviously, facing Tom Brady every game would inflate the points allowed versus seeing Nathan Peterman under center. APA does a quality job at evening out the strength of opponents to give you a true Fantasy points allowed average (+/- compared to positional league average).

As always, catch me @allinkid and keep reading to see my 12-pack of DFS sleepers for Week 14.

Quarterback APA

RANK TEAM OPP APA +/- RANK TEAM OPP APA +/-
1 CLE CAR 23.7 +5.9 17 MIN SEA 18.1 +0.3
2 LAC CIN 23.3 +5.5 18 MIA NE 17.2 -0.6
3 BAL KC 22.6 +4.8 19 TEN JAX 17.0 -0.8
4 GB ATL 22.5 +4.7 20 IND HOU 16.8 -1.0
5 PIT OAK 22.0 +4.2 21 PHI DAL 16.2 -1.6
6 NO TB 21.6 +3.8 22 JAX TEN 15.8 -2.0
7 NE MIA 20.8 +3.0 23 ATL GB 15.7 -2.1
8 NYG WSH 20.5 +2.7 24 WSH NYG 15.1 -2.7
9 DEN SAF 20.2 +2.4 25 SAF DEN 15.0 -2.8
10 ARI DET 20.1 +2.3 26 DET ARI 14.7 -3.1
11 CHI LAR 19.4 +1.6 27 OAK PIT 14.3 -3.5
12 DAL PHI 19.3 +1.5 28 LAR CHI 14.2 -3.6
13 TB NO 19.1 +1.3 29 KC BAL 13.5 -4.3
14 CAR CLE 18.8 +1.0 30 SEA MIN 13.0 -4.8
15 HOU IND 18.5 +0.7 31 CIN LAC 12.4 -5.4
16 BUF NYJ 18.1 +0.3 32 NYJ BUF 9.4 -8.4

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