Week 12 NFL DFS Blind Spots

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@allinkid

Week 12 NFL DFS Sleepers

In case you’re new to this/me, this sleeper piece aims for contrarian/GPP players, but more importantly, it focuses on matchups to exploit using APA (Adjusted Points Allowed). So, you may see a few “must own” players that are common picks. As for APA, it’s a metric that I created years ago, adjusting for the strength of opponent, etc. Obviously, facing Tom Brady every game would inflate the points allowed versus seeing Nathan Peterman under center. APA does a quality job at evening out the strength of opponents to give you a true Fantasy points allowed average (+/- compared to positional league average).

As always, catch me @allinkid and keep reading to see my 12-pack of DFS sleepers for Week 12.

Quarterback APA

RANK TEAM OPP APA +/- RANK TEAM OPP APA +/-
1 CLE CIN 24.9 +6.9 16 PHI NYG 16.9 -1.1
2 NO ATL 23.5 +5.5 17 CIN CLE 16.8 -1.2
3 SEA CAR 22.4 +4.4 18 DAL WSH 16.7 -1.3
4 NYG PHI 22.4 +4.4 19 BUF JAX 16.7 -1.3
5 SAF TB 22.0 +4.0 20 HOU TEN 16.5 -1.5
6 NYJ NE 21.6 +3.6 21 MIN GB 16.4 -1.6
7 CHI DET 21.4 +3.4 22 PIT DEN 16.2 -1.8
8 ATL NO 21.1 +3.1 23 DET CHI 15.8 -2.2
9 BAL OAK 20.9 +2.9 24 TEN HOU 14.9 -3.1
10 MIA IND 19.2 +1.2 25 ARI LAC 14.6 -3.4
11 TB SAF 18.5 +0.5 26 GB MIN 14.4 -3.6
12 WSH DAL 17.8 -0.2 27 DEN PIT 14.2 -3.8
13 IND MIA 17.4 -0.6 28 CAR SEA 14.0 -4.0
14 OAK BAL 17.4 -0.6 29 LAC ARI 12.0 -6.0
15 NE NYJ 17.0 -1.0 30 JAX BUF 10.2 -7.8

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