Week 1 DFS Blind Spots

Thursday, September 7, 2017
Getty Images Sport / Norm Hall
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Welcome my DFS friends. If you don’t know me, I’m the @allinkid, the phenomenal one… well, not in wrestling like A.J. Styles… just when it comes to ranking/projection/DFS accuracy. As you can tell, I have no problem giving myself compliments. Hey, if I don’t, who will? In any case, welcome to my weekly NFL DFS Sleepers piece for the Fantasy Footballers.

Week 1 NFL DFS Sleepers

In case you’re new to this/me, this sleeper piece aims for contrarian players, but more importantly, it focuses on matchups to exploit using FPAD (Fantasy Points Adjusted for Defense). So, you may see a few “must own” players that are common picks. As for FPAD, it’s a metric that I created years ago, adjusting for the strength of opponent, etc. Obviously, facing Tom Brady every game wouldn’t have the same results as seeing Jared Goff under center. FPAD does a quality job at evening out the strength of opponents to give you a true Fantasy points allowed average.

Quarterback FPAD
Rank Team Opp FPAD Rank Team Opp FPAD
1 Pittsburgh Steelers CLE 20.1 16 New York Giants DAL 16.6
2 Chicago Bears ATL 20.1 17 Kansas City Chiefs NE 16.6
3 Arizona Cardinals DET 19.8 18 Houston Texans JAX 16.1
4 Oakland Raiders TEN 19.7 19 New England Patriots KC 15.7
5 Minnesota Vikings NO 19.6 20 Baltimore Ravens CIN 15.4
6 Los Angeles Rams IND 19.3 21 San Francisco 49ers CAR 15.1
7 Carolina Panthers SAF 19.1 22 Cincinnati Bengals BAL 14.5
8 Seattle Seahawks GB 18.1 23 Washington Redskins PHI 13.9
9 Philadelphia Eagles WSH 17.7 24 Green Bay Packers SEA 13.7
10 Buffalo Bills NYJ 17.1 25 Cleveland Browns PIT 13.7
11 Tennessee Titans OAK 17.0 26 Detroit Lions ARI 13.2
12 Atlanta Falcons CHI 16.9 27 New Orleans Saints MIN 12.2
13 Denver Broncos LAC 16.8 28 Los Angeles Chargers DEN 12.1
14 Indianapolis Colts LAR 16.6 29 Jacksonville Jaguars HOU 11.8
15 New York Jets BUF 16.6 30 Dallas Cowboys NYG 11.6
Running Back FPAD
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Comments 2

  1. Hey Jake, I need a little help making sure I understand how to use the FPAD rankings. Is the #1 team on that ranking more likely to give up points to that specific offensive position? Or is it opposite of that?

    Thanx!

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