NFL DFS Pace of Play for Week 7 (Fantasy Football)
Pace of play gives the prospective DFS player an opportunity to consider not just Vegas totals but how the game will be played out in a given week. Game flow is a tricky rabbit hole to jump down when you consider the endless scenarios that can play out in a game. Stacking up-tempo offenses who can keep the ball moving is crucial to gaining an edge in DFS. Even slight differentiations of team trends matters in a world where volume is king. In 2020, on average, teams ran a play 0.8 seconds per play slower in positive game scripts than they did in neutral game script.
Each week I’ll highlight five game environments factoring in their pace metrics, stacks to consider for tournaments, and five dart throws to shoot for the moon with.
Make sure to check out the DFS Podcast where Betz and I breakdown the main slate and highlight some of our favorite plays of the week.
Kansas City Chiefs @ Tennessee Titans (+4.5)- O/U: 56.5
Team 2021 Pass Rate 56%
Team Implied Total
Neutral Pace
30.5
10th
68%
Tennessee Titans
26.0
22nd
I don’t have to twist your arm to let you know this is the game of the week. In the same sense of WAS-KC last week being the most important game on the slate, the expectations for this one is even greater. You almost feel bad for the Chiefs as every week the game tempo, energy and stakes feel so high. But if they’re going to continue to deliver us games with totals over 55, we can’t complain. KC’s pass rate ranks 3rd highest whether they are leading or trailing and the Titans are allowing opposing WR corps to see 70 percent of the targets, the highest in the NFL. Tyreek Hill is once again an elite play on the road and I’m willing to be a bit overweight on Mecole Hardman this week. He’s a tease but if there was ever a week to play him, this is it.
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