NFL DFS Best Plays for Week 11 (Fantasy Football)
Each week we will review some of the content found in the DFS Pass and discuss some of our most confident plays heading into Sunday. A lot can change over the weekend especially with injury news (See Betz’s Injury Blitz podcast) and roster percentages shifting who is in-or-out before roster lock time. Let’s review.
- Locked-in Cash Plays
- CORE Plays
- Game Stacks We Love
- Full-On Fades of the Week
- Favorite Leverage Plays
- Favorite Dart Throws
- Boldest Calls of the Week
Week 11 DFS Podcasts
Tuesday’s DFS Pod – Week 11 State of the Main Slate + Salary Standouts, Quiznos
Friday’s DFS Pod – Week 11 Cash/GPP Picks + Blue Jean Babies
Locked-In Cash Plays
DraftKings Cash Picks / FanDuel Cash Picks
Saquon Barkley is locked in for me on both sites. The workload is too good to pass up. He ranks #1 in points per dollar despite being near $10K on FanDuel because you’re getting a player leading the league in rushing yards and touches. Detroit is allowing a league-high points per snap and they’re dead last in TD rate allowed per drive. Oh and they rank 29th in rush EPA per attempt. If Saquon is going to get 30+ attempts again, sign me up whatever the cost may be.
Buffalo/Cleveland Game Thoughts
We’re still waiting on the final word that the Bills are actually traveling to Detroit for this game. It’s a pretty unique situation and honestly, I have no idea how the field will react or how much they will move off their priors of other games. As of this publishing, there is still a real possibility this game doesn’t even happen. It’s a nightmare when projecting for the whole field. As of now, our projections assume game plays in DET. But to be real, I don’t think anyone can accurately project roster percentages for that game currently. It’s a mess. We’ll try to keep things updated in the Roster Percentage Report (Saturday 9 PM EST / Sunday 12 PM EST) but give us some grace as the situation still is fluid.
Nevertheless, this game now has the highest total (49.5) on the slate so ignoring it is not an option.
IF Josh Allen plays, he becomes a top-2 QB in both cash and GPPs this week. The Bills now have the highest team-implied total on the slate (28.5) and Cleveland is not a matchup that should scare you at all. They rank 31st in EPA per play allowed and 27th in explosive pass rate. You can’t argue with his combination of both floor and massive ceiling in a dome. He’s 4-0 in his career indoors averaging 286 passing yards and totaling 14 combined TDs. Stefon Diggs becomes a top-5 overall play and in serious consideration in cash although stacking both in cash is a bit cost-prohibitive. I’m all for stacking with Gabriel Davis in GPPs as he has a 0.52 correlation with Allen over their last 17 games. In other words, I’m not playing Davis as a one-off. He’s a stacking partner, especially on FanDuel. Dawson Knox becomes another stackable option. On the Cleveland side, if the field is going to only focus on Amari Cooper‘s home/road splits, I’ll play him in a large field tournament at a low roster percentage. DPJ will spillover from last week being the chalk but not nearly the same. Don’t be afraid of the Bills secondary. They rank 26th against fantasy WRs since Week 6. The Browns RBs are GPP-only with Chubb being in the same spot he always is: low-rostered but expensive.
DraftKings Core Plays
Note: Betz is out of town this weekend so I’ll just be giving my top-5 plays at each position.
These are the 3-5 players at each position I have mixed in my player pool. Based on salaries, late news, and budget constraints, it’s not a guarantee I fit in all of them. But their high floors and team-implied totals make them great plays for the week in both cash & GPPs.
These are simply in order of favorite core players. You obviously won’t be able to fit all in a cash lineup and there are salary tradeoffs for paying up at each position.