DFS Thursday Night Football: DraftKings Showdown for Week 14 (Fantasy Football)
Before we get into the specifics of this matchup and how to approach it for the DraftKings showdown slate, I want to point people back to a few pieces of evergreen content that I think are extremely valuable if you’re serious about winning showdown all season. I’d recommend reading/listening to this content before proceeding, especially if you’re new to showdown.
1. How to Win Showdown Contests: A detailed article looking at the data and strategy behind winning showdown lineups.
2. DFS Showdown Strategy Podcast: A thorough discussion on how to beat showdown, looking at the game theory and how to leverage the field.
DraftKings Sportsbook Lines
Spread: LV -6.0
Team Totals: Raiders (25.3), Rams (19.3)
Fresh off a big win against the Chargers in Week 13, the Raiders travel to LA to take on the Rams to kick off Week 14’s slate. This game carries a middling 44.5-point total with the Raiders favored by six points against a Rams team that’s clearly waiving the white flag on the 2022 season.
Over the last month, the Raiders have run a relatively balanced offense, ranking 24th in Pass Rate over Expectation in that sample and 22nd in pass rate. As six point favorites, it certainly makes sense that the team will lean into Josh Jacobs as long as the game script allows. Over the last month, when they’ve had a lead of 7+ points, they’re running at a 63% clip.