DFS Sleepers and Blind Spots for Week 1

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Week 1 NFL DFS Sleepers

In case you’re new to this/me, this sleeper piece aims for contrarian/GPP players, but more importantly, it focuses on matchups to exploit using APA (Adjusted Points Allowed). APA is a metric that I created years ago, adjusting for the strength of opponent, etc. Obviously, facing Patrick Mahomes every game would inflate the points allowed versus seeing Sam Darnold under center. APA does a quality job at evening out the strength of opponents to give you a true Fantasy points allowed average (+/- compared to positional league average).

As always, catch me @allinkid and keep reading to see my FanDuel DFS sleepers for Week 1.

Quarterback APA

RANK TEAM OPP APA +/- RANK TEAM OPP APA +/-
1 SAF ARI 23.1 +6.4 17 ATL SEA 16.1 -0.6
2 PIT NYG 22.2 +5.6 18 NO TB 16.0 -0.7
3 CHI DET 22.2 +5.5 19 JAX IND 15.8 -0.8
4 CAR LAV 22.0 +5.4 20 WSH PHI 14.8 -1.8
5 LAC CIN 21.1 +4.5 21 MIN GB 14.8 -1.8
6 NE MIA 20.9 +4.3 22 TEN DEN 14.5 -2.1
7 PHI WSH 20.8 +4.1 23 LAV CAR 14.3 -2.4
8 SEA ATL 20.0 +3.4 24 ARI SAF 14.2 -2.5
9 KC HOU 19.2 +2.5 25 DAL LAR 14.1 -2.5
10 BAL CLE 18.6 +1.9 26 CIN LAC 13.9 -2.7
11 IND JAX 17.1 +0.4 27 GB MIN 13.9 -2.8
12 BUF NYJ 17.0 +0.4 28 DET CHI 12.9 -3.7
13 LAR DAL 16.7 +0.1 29 NYJ BUF 12.9 -3.7
14 DEN TEN 16.7 +0.0 30 CLE BAL 12.3 -4.3
15 TB NO 16.3 -0.3 31 NYG PIT 11.8 -4.8
16 HOU KC 16.2 -0.4 32 MIA NE 10.0 -6.7
LEAGUE AVERAGE 16.6

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