There generally isn’t a noticeable and predictable weather effect on fantasy performances unless conditions like rain, snow, and wind are in the extremes. Temperature is a far more challenging variable and we have a few games this week that will be around freezing temperature. The tricky thing about temperature is that it doesn’t affect all players the same.

Temperatures have a greater impact on players that travel from milder climates. This makes intuitive sense and we have Matt Ryan and Jared Goff heading into games with temperatures they will not be acclimated to. Neither QB has played in many games below freezing temperature, but they’ve struggled in the cold weather games they have played in as detailed below.

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Atlanta Falcons at Green Bay Packers
1:00 PM ET
LAMBEAU FIELD
GREEN BAY, WISCONSIN

Temp: 25°
Precipitation: None
Wind: 12 mph
Wind Gusts: 21 mph

Fantasy Impact: We know 25 degrees is just a normal game for Aaron Rodgers in December. Rodgers averages 292 yards and 2.6 TDs in home games under 32 degrees according to Pro Football Reference, but that’s quite chilly for Matt Ryan. Ryan has only played in three games below 32 degrees in his career. In those games, he’s averaged 183 yards passing and 1.33 TDs. Julio Jones only played in one of those games and converted 16 targets into 9 receptions for 101 yards.

Matt Ryan struggles in the cold, on grass, and on the road. He’s far too risky to trust and Tevin Coleman has struggled all year. I would avoid the Atlanta players with the exception of Julio Jones. Aaron Rodgers, Davante Adams, and Aaron Jones shouldn’t be affected by the weather, but take the field for the first time without head coach and play-caller Mike McCarthy.

New Orleans Saints at Tampa Bay Buccaneers
1:00 PM ET
RAYMOND JAMES STADIUM
TAMPA, FLORIDA

Temp: 81°
Precipitation: Rain
Wind: 14 mph
Wind Gusts: 21 mph

Fantasy Impact: The worst part of the rain will be over by the time the game starts. Moderately heavy rain expected for a couple hours leading up to the game followed by a light drizzle around kickoff that should dissipate quickly. The field will be wet, but shouldn’t affect fantasy performances.

New York Jets at Buffalo Bills
1:00 PM ET
NEW ERA FIELD
ORCHARD PARK, NEW YORK

Temp: 30°
Precipitation: None
Wind: 12 mph
Wind Gusts: 18 mph

Fantasy Impact: None

New England Patriots at Miami Dolphins
1:00 PM ET
HARD ROCK STADIUM
MIAMI GARDENS, FLORIDA

Temp: 82°
Precipitation: None
Wind: 12 mph
Wind Gusts: 18 mph

Fantasy Impact: Showers will be in the area, but won’t be significant enough to affect the game.

New York Giants at Washington Redskins
1:00 PM ET
FEDEX FIELD
LANDOVER, MARYLAND

Temp: 37°
Precipitation: None
Wind: 6 mph
Wind Gusts: 8 mph

Fantasy Impact: None

Baltimore Ravens at Kansas City Chiefs
1:00 PM ET
ARROWHEAD STADIUM
KANSAS CITY, MISSOURI

Temp: 34°
Precipitation: None
Wind: 1 mph
Wind Gusts: 1 mph

Fantasy Impact: None

Carolina Panthers at Cleveland Browns
1:00 PM ET
FIRSTENERGY STADIUM
CLEVELAND, OHIO

Temp: 32°
Precipitation: None
Wind: 2 mph
Wind Gusts: 2 mph

Fantasy Impact: None

Cincinnati Bengals at Los Angeles Chargers
4:05 PM ET
STUBHUB CENTER
CARSON, CALIFORNIA

Temp: 68°
Precipitation: None
Wind: 6 mph
Wind Gusts: 6 mph

Fantasy Impact: None

Denver Broncos at San Francisco 49ers
4:05 PM ET
LEVI’S STADIUM
SANTA CLARA, CALIFORNIA

Temp: 63°
Precipitation: None
Wind: 3 mph
Wind Gusts: 3 mph

Fantasy Impact: None

Pittsburgh Steelers at Oakland Raiders
4:25 PM ET
OAKLAND COLISEUM
OAKLAND, CALIFORNIA

Temp: 57°
Precipitation: None
Wind: 2 mph
Wind Gusts: 2 mph

Fantasy Impact: None

Los Angeles Rams at Chicago Bears
8:20 PM ET
SOLDIER FIELD
CHICAGO, ILLINOIS

Temp: 23°
Precipitation: None
Wind: 1 mph
Wind Gusts: 2 mph

Fantasy Impact: Jared Goff has very little playing experience in cold weather. Back in Week 6 Goff struggled in an unseasonably cold game in Denver. Goff went 14 of 28 for 201 yards and 0 TDs in that Denver matchup, but Cooper Kupp was in and out of that game with an injury. Kupp is out in this game, but Goff should be better prepared for this game that is slightly warmer than the game in DEN. Brandin Cooks may struggle if Goff can’t push the ball downfield. Todd Gurley rushed for over 200 yards and 2 TDs while Robert Woods eclipsed 100 yards on seven receptions. Expect a similar game plan against CHI.

Like GB, CHI should be acclimated to the weather.

Monday, December 10th, 2018:

Minnesota Vikings at Seattle Seahawks
8:15 PM ET
CENTURYLINK STADIUM
SEATTLE, WASHINGTON

Temp: 46°
Precipitation: None
Wind: 8 mph
Wind Gusts: 17 mph

Fantasy Impact: None

Dome Games:

Indianapolis Colts at Houston Texans
1:00 PM ET
NRG STADIUM
HOUSTON, TEXAS
Detroit Lions at Arizona Cardinals
4:25 PM ET
STATE FARM STADIUM
GLENDALE, ARIZONA
Philadelphia Eagles at Dallas Cowboys
4:25 PM ET
AT&T STADIUM
DALLAS, TEXAS

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