Dynasty Film Review: Week 7 (Fantasy Football)
Borg, Betz, and Mike are back after Week 6! They preview the Rookie Draft Re-Do, where the impact of the first six weeks of action on the perceived value of rookies has become clear. The big three WRs have a lot of questions, highlighting the broad range of discussion we could have about the rookie class. Borg sees this as a balance between what they have done so far in the NFL and the recency bias of player performances like Omar Cooper Jr.’s in Week 6.
The information available so far has also impacted 2027 pick value. These picks (particularly late firsts, e.g., 1.07–1.12) are losing perceived value due to inconsistent play and QB struggles across college football. Growing skepticism surrounding Arch Manning’s developmental trajectory and heavy media pressure at Texas are creating uncertainty about his status as a top-tier fantasy asset. Outside of consensus blue-chips like WR Jeremiah Smith (Ohio State) and emerging names like RB Ahmad Hardy (Missouri), the 2027 class appears thin on elite, fantasy-relevant skill players in 1QB formats.
Weekly Rewind
Betz watched Chicago’s offense, which he found fun. Ben Johnson‘s makes others look obsolete by comparison. Betz recounts the trajectory of Caleb Williams‘ play from a rough rookie season to amazing fourth-quarter comebacks in year 2 to now, looking like an elite processor in this offense. Caleb Williams looks comfortable navigating Ben Johnson’s system, setting a franchise record for single-game completion percentage (min. 30 attempts).
High usage of 12 and 13 personnel (top-6) limits total WR routes, leading to unpredictable, Bills-like, rotating fantasy production between Rome Odunze, Luther Burden, and Colston Loveland. Borg notes that despite Odunze being out there in these heavier sets, he is only getting targeted on 9% of routes. Some of those targets are valuable, but the volume is sparse. Mike sees the usage of Burden as confusing, given his success in per-route metrics. There will continue to be weeks with high team point totals, but only one of these options matters.
Borg poses a few Rome Odunze vs. … situations:
- Ladd McConkey: Betz reluctantly chooses McConkey over Odunze despite his view that McConkey needs a true WR1 alongside him to thrive.
- Jalen Coker: Betz implores us to stop considering draft capital at some point. Mike and Borg would take Coker because he is flat-out producing better than Rome.
Borg watched the Texans offense and saw that C.J. Stroud is throwing more frequently on early downs. This elevates his passing floor (~300 yards/game) and maximizes Nico Collins‘ dominant target share. Jaylin Noel is getting involved out of the slot, and Borg expects Marvin Harrison‘s route participation to increase as he gets acclimated to the offense.
Moving away from a heavily forced workload for David Montgomery in favor of speedier backs (e.g., Jawhar Jordan) has unlocked cleaner passing lanes and improved offensive flow. In addition, the run game usage has pivoted from something they lean on when Stroud is in trouble to simply trusting him to throw more. Mike and Betz are excited to see Stroud “right the ship” and the diversity in WR skill sets across their receiving corps. We should be excited to watch Stroud play “point guard,” which was prevalent on his Ohio State film.
2026 Dynasty Rookie Draft Re-Do (2-Round, 1QB Mock)
Round 1
IMAGN IMAGES via Reuters Connect
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1.01 — Jeremiyah Love (RB): Mike held firm at the top spot due to elite 3-down talent and profile, despite lingering ankle injuries and “booty crust” team environment.
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1.02 — Carnell Tate (WR): Betz selects Tate, who posted a 69% receiving yardage share in Week 6, despite QB volatility with Cam Ward. The paltry performance of the Titans offense so far is expected to require a massive culling going into 2027, including Ward.
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1.03 — Jordyn Tyson (WR): Borg picks Jordyn Tyson (who Mike would have taken at 1.02). Tyson retains high upside and trade value despite zero snaps played due to recurring hamstring issues.
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1.04 — Makai Lemon (WR): As Mike selects Lemon, the Ballers highlight the massive tier gap between 1.03 and 1.04. This was a raw draft capital selection, but the individual route-running talent held back by Philadelphia’s overall offensive struggles leaves room for upside hope.
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1.05 — KC Concepcion (WR): Betz zooms out to minimize recency bias and selects Concepcion, citing his skill set and draft capital. Mike concurred on Concepcion’s slippery, slot-oriented playmaking upside in modern NFL concepts. However, Mike thinks his timeline is more like Zay Flowers, where it took a while to come along for fantasy.
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1.06 — Denzel Boston (WR): Borg’s brain would have taken Boston over Concepcion, though his heart would stay with Concepcion at 1.05. Higher immediate fantasy floor due to solid target volume and perimeter route participation.
IMAGN IMAGES via Reuters Connect
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1.07 — Germie Bernard (WR): Mike promoted Bernard from the mid-second into the mid-1st following strong week-over-week involvement in Mike McCarthy’s offense.
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1.08 — De’Zhaun Stribling (WR): Betz takes a leap of faith selecting Stribling. He is a high-upside dart throw tied to Kyle Shanahan’s high-efficiency offense and Brock Purdy.
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1.09 — Kenyon Sadiq (TE): Borg picks Sadiq, who remains the top TE profile in the class, drafted on 1st-round draft capital and physical ceiling.
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1.10 — Fernando Mendoza (QB): Mike selected Mendoza as a developmental QB prospect sitting behind Kirk Cousins in a fantasy-friendly Klint Kubiak scheme.
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1.11 — Jadarian Price (RB): Betz takes the explosive potential of Price in Seattle’s backfield, even though ball-security issues and injury history are a concern.
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1.12 — Ja’Kobi Lane (WR): Borg picked Lane, who has carved out immediate target share following wrist surgery, capitalizing on Mark Andrews‘ decline and Baltimore’s thin pass-catching corps.
Round 2
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2.01 (13) — Omar Cooper Jr. (WR): Mike had some consternation about potentially selecting Omar Cooper Jr. at 1.10 given his recent Week 6 performance, but stuck with Mendoza. Cooper has shown big-play capability, though he is capped by the New York Jets‘ offensive volatility.
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2.02 (14) — Chris Bell (WR): Raw athletic talent intrigues Betz enough, with hope in his upside after returning to health in Miami.
Action Images via Reuters
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2.03 (15) — Antonio Williams (WR): Borg snipes Mike, grabbing Williams, who is emerging with slot/outside flexibility in Washington and a clear path to target volume following Terry McLaurin‘s severe injury.
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2.04 (16) — Jonah Coleman (RB): Mike stashes Coleman for future lead-back potential in Denver.
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2.05 (17) — Ted Hurst (WR): Betz makes a mid-round dart throw targeting Tampa Bay’s passing attack.
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2.06 (18) — Emmett Johnson (RB): Borg snags a Bucky Irving clone and premium handcuff pick backing up Kenneth Walker in Kansas City.
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2.07 (19) — Mike Washington Jr. (RB): Mike stashes another RB as a potential standalone touch thief and insurance policy behind a struggling/banged-up Ashton Jeanty.
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2.08 (20) — Eli Raridon (TE): Betz Low-key TE developmental prospect gaining snaps over Hunter Henry in New England.
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2.09 (21) — Kaelon Black (RB): Borg doesn’t know what Black is at this point, but he will stash San Francisco’s backfield depth for potential injury opportunity.
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2.10 (22) — Malachi Fields (WR): Mike drafted Fields on third-round draft capital, physical frame, and long-term stack potential with Jaxson Dart.
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2.11 (23) — Eli Stowers (TE): Betz likes the athletic upside project stashed on IR.
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2.12 (24) — Ty Simpson (QB): Borg makes a speculative late-round QB stash behind Matthew Stafford in Los Angeles.
The Ballers conclude that while the top four or five picks of the 2026 class retain intriguing upside, the second round quickly devolves into a low-probability “booty crust” territory. Dynasty managers should be willing to package mid-to-late round picks to tier up for proven talent or premium first-round capital.
Week 5 Film Deep Dive
Germie Bernard
Germie Bernard’s film over the past two weeks highlights a WR whose football IQ is earning immediate trust from Aaron Rodgers. Over the last two weeks, Bernard has earned 21 targets, the second-most YAC, and a 118.1 passer rating when targeted.
Line Bernard up anywhere—slot, boundary, or backfield—and he produces. In Week 5, he demonstrated elite route discipline, running intermediate and deep in-breaking routes without projecting the break and fighting through contact on critical downs. His physical hand usage at the line can defeat press jams, allowing him to establish early leverage.
Germie builds on a modest 9 -🎯Week 5 performance with a 12-🎯, 11-catch performance for 87 and a score. He continues to build on this report Rodgers in Week 6. pic.twitter.com/kzXmPS0H8Q
— Vernon Meighan (@FFB_Vern) October 21, 2026
By Week 6, Bernard’s intelligence took center stage. On a 3rd-down slot blitz, he recognized the pressure mid-stem and adjusted his vision to give Rodgers an instant answer. The Steelers are also leaning into his athleticism with backfield angle routes, screen fakes, and red zone targets.
I just want to foot stomp his intelligence once more. Just before the half against Tampa Bay, Bernard feigns a block for a screen, then gets into his route for a 14-yard reception. He bounces up with high awareness of the running clock to get the ball spotted and spiked in time, resulting in a field goal before halftime. Young players could easily get lost in these moments; Bernard did not.
Smart players tend to stick around, especially if they have the skill to pair with their intelligence. Germie Bernard is attached to Rodgers, who we know will be gone next year. But as the Baller’s highlighted during the episode, if Mike McCarthy sticks around and Bernard continues on this trajectory, McCarthy is likely to consider him a focal point in this offense.
The uncertainty of the next QB will keep value suppressed, but testing the waters with a ’27 second is a sound strategy. A shaky owner looking to rebuild could still see high value in ’27 picks, creating a good window to buy.
Bhayshul Tuten
We want RBs tied to strong offenses, making Bhayshul Tuten an intriguing study. Tuten’s elite underlying efficiency—3.62 YCO/A (5th), 25 MTF (3rd), and 1.47 YPRR (6th)—mirrors a high-end fantasy asset. However, Chris Rodriguez (CROD) looms, eating into ground work and inside-the-10 touches.
Week 6 tape shows how Tuten can overcome this split: pass-game usage. His targets are trending up, highlighted by four targets and two TDs against Houston—including a 22-yard checkdown score.
Tuten's explosiveness can, and has, shown up on the ground, but some occasional lapses in vision/decision-making leave 'meat on the bone.' pic.twitter.com/ABPmmvo5Vu
— Vernon Meighan (@FFB_Vern) October 21, 2026
Now let’s pivot to the ground game. His pad level, contact balance, burst, and speed are all good to very good. However, his vision/decision-making puzzle me at times.
- Run Play 1: Tuten sees a flash of color in the frontside gap and wisely follows the split flow blocker. Tuten’s cutback leads to the backside gap, where he capitalizes with pad level and contact balance for a tough 5 yards.
- Run Play 2: When he gets the ball on this off-tackle run, his vision should take him directly off the LT’s hip. Unfortunately, he begins to bounce the run only to be cut off by the DE. Maybe a more timely decision to “bang” nets a better gain while adding to that 3rd-ranked missed tackles forced stat.
- Run Play 3: Tuten + speed + space = chunk play potential on stretch runs like these. With great speed comes great pacing responsibility. For Tuten to tier jump among RBs, he must improve his pacing. Tuten has angle-erasing burst. Throttling down a smidge here and bursting upfield a little earlier nets a chunk play.
- Run Play 4: A simple inside zone with a double-team to the left side. Pausing when Tuten gets the ball, we see a nice gap, but a LB lurks. Tuten abandons the gap as if he didn’t realize his LG would climb to this threat. If he trusts the climb will happen, this is a 5-yard run instead of two.
Despite a 3.3 YPC day, Tuten finished as the RB3. With trade market prices ranging from a ’27 1st to Mike Evans, buy-low windows may be open if managers panic over CROD’s rush volume. A ’27 first feels expensive, but as the Baller’s pointed out on this episode, the college season has massively shifted the perceived value of those picks.