Week 13 NFL DFS Blind Spots

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@allinkid

Week 13 NFL DFS Sleepers

In case you’re new to this/me, this sleeper piece aims for contrarian/GPP players, but more importantly, it focuses on matchups to exploit using APA (Adjusted Points Allowed). So, you may see a few “must own” players that are common picks. As for APA, it’s a metric that I created years ago, adjusting for the strength of opponent, etc. Obviously, facing Tom Brady every game would inflate the points allowed versus seeing Nathan Peterman under center. APA does a quality job at evening out the strength of opponents to give you a true Fantasy points allowed average (+/- compared to positional league average).

As always, catch me @allinkid and keep reading to see my 12-pack of DFS sleepers for Week 13.

Quarterback APA

RANK TEAM OPP APA +/- RANK TEAM OPP APA +/-
1 DEN CIN 25.3 +7.3 17 BUF MIA 18.3 +0.3
2 DET LAR 24.1 +6.1 18 HOU CLE 18.1 +0.6
3 BAL ATL 22.9 +4.9 19 NYJ TEN 17.6 -0.4
4 TB CAR 22.5 +4.5 20 ARI GB 17.3 -0.7
5 OAK KC 21.2 +3.2 21 NO DAL 17.3 -0.7
6 LAR DET 21.0 +3.0 22 TEN NYJ 16.9 -1.1
7 KC OAK 21.0 +3.0 23 CIN DEN 16.1 -1.9
8 CAR TB 20.8 +2.8 24 CHI NYG 15.8 -2.2
9 DAL NO 20.5 +2.5 25 SAF SEA 15.2 -2.8
10 WSH PHI 20.2 +2.2 26 ATL BAL 14.8 -3.2
11 JAX IND 20.2 +2.2 27 NYG CHI 14.5 -3.5
12 IND JAX 19.7 +1.7 28 GB ARI 13.6 -4.4
13 PHI WSH 18.8 +0.8 29 LAC PIT 13.6 -4.4
14 MIN NE 18.8 +0.8 30 NE MIN 13.5 -4.5
15 SEA SAF 18.7 +0.7 31 PIT LAC 12.8 -5.2
16 CLE HOU 18.6 +0.1 32 MIA BUF 8.8 -9.2

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