DraftKings GPP Picks for Week 3

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Matt Ryan vs. Chicago Bears $6,600

Not many are talking about it, but Matt Ryan is having a pretty good start to his fantasy season. In Week 1, he returned 3.7x value thanks to 450 yards and two touchdowns, and in Week 2, he returned 4.3x value thanks to four passing touchdowns. This week, he will be challenged at home by a 2-0 Bears team that has allowed just one passing touchdown (Matthew Stafford, Daniel Jones) through two weeks. Despite the Bears’ success, they haven’t faced a team with as many healthy weapons as Ryan does. Now, news came out earlier this week that Julio Jones‘s hamstring issue is notable, which could have him at less than 100%. If anything, this will keep Ryan’s ownership numbers down. Still, with Calvin Ridley, Russell Gage, Todd Gurley, and Hayden Hurst, there will be more than enough of firepower to return over 3x value this week–a fine result for a low-owned player in tournaments. The Falcons are 3.5-point favorites with an implied point total of 25.5 points.

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robert_lichtjr. says:

Matt – Did you play the past 2 weeks? Did you compare what the other guys are doing with their lineups? Are they playing GPPs or chalk? I think that is where you gotta start. For these I try to do a core of cash/chalk and then a few GPP pivots on the chalky players my gut tells me to try to fade. Good luck!

Mattfunk says:

In a 8 person Local DFS league. Top 2 take money. Would this be GPP or cash game? How would you go about lineup structure? Thanks

Rob Waziak says:

Hi Matt,

In a small field where 25% cash, I think it’s worth targeting most of the chalk Cash plays (I assume the field would do the same) but sprinkle in a low-owned GPP target or two. This should result in more of a boom-or-bust result in any given week, but win a couple of the weeks and you’d be playing with house money for the rest. Good luck!

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