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Tom Brady at Green Bay Packers $6,100

What will it take for Tom Brady to extend his NFL record and play in his 10th Superbowl? Just a win at Lambeau Field in late January. Last week, Brady completed just 54.5% of his passes for 199 yards, two passing touchdowns, and a rushing touchdown. Those 22.16 fantasy points extended his streak of returning 2.5x or better value to five games. Brady’s salary of $6,100 is the lowest of all four starting quarterbacks this week, but not by much. Josh Allen at $800 more and Aaron Rodgers at $400 will keep exposure numbers a bit more balanced. Because of this affordability, Brady could come in the lowest owned of them all and it has everything with having to win at Lambeau against a better football team. Brady has 40 passing touchdowns on the season (plus another four rushing) and has thrown multiple touchdowns in 15 of his 18 games. On Sunday, he’ll face a Packers defense that has allowed the 3rd-fewest fantasy points per game to opposing quarterbacks this season (including playoffs) and ranks 15th in DVOA against the pass. The Buccaneers are 3.5-point underdogs with an implied point total of 23.75 points.

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