DFS Thursday Night Football: DraftKings Showdown for Week 14 (Fantasy Football)
Before we get into the specifics of this matchup and how to approach it for the DraftKings showdown slate, I want to point people back to a few pieces of evergreen content that I think are extremely valuable if you’re serious about winning showdown all season. I’d recommend reading/listening to this content before proceeding, especially if you’re new to showdown.
1. How to Win Showdown Contests: A detailed article looking at the data and strategy behind winning showdown lineups.
2. DFS Showdown Strategy Podcast: A thorough discussion on how to beat showdown, looking at the game theory and how to leverage the field.
DraftKings Sportsbook Lines
Spread: DET -3
Total: 51.5
Team Totals: Lions (27.3), Packers (24.3)
Game Outlook
Week 14 kicks off with an absolute banger when the Packers travel to Ford Field for a massive NFC North showdown in a game featuring a 51.5 total; No other game on the Week 14 slate has a higher total than Packers/Lions. Buckle up, baby! Let’s start on the Detroit side of things where their offense is seemingly unstoppable these days. Through 13 weeks, the Lions rank top-5 in EPA per play, yards per play and points per game (31.9). The Lions have leaned on their dynamic RB duo this season, ranking 25th in PROE (-2.2%) and 27th in pass rate when games are within one score. At home as a slight favorite, we shouldn’t expect Ben Johnson to abandon the run unless this games goes sideways in a hurry, especially considering the Packers have faced the league’s fifth-highest neutral rush rate.
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