DFS Thursday Night Football: DraftKings Showdown for Week 11 (Fantasy Football)

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Before we get into the specifics of this matchup and how to approach it for the DraftKings showdown slate, I want to point people back to a few pieces of evergreen content that I think are extremely valuable if you’re serious about winning showdown all season. I’d recommend reading/listening to this content before proceeding, especially if you’re new to showdown.

1. How to Win Showdown Contests: A detailed article looking at the data and strategy behind winning showdown lineups.

2. DFS Showdown Strategy PodcastA thorough discussion on how to beat showdown, looking at the game theory and how to leverage the field.

DraftKings Sportsbook Lines

Spread: BAL -4
Total: 46.0
Team Totals: Ravens (25.0), Bengals (21.0)

Game Outlook

Week 11 kicks off with an exciting Thursday night matchup between AFC North foes when the Bengals travel to M&T Bank Stadium for a divisional matchup against the Ravens. This one should be awesome as both teams look to make a push for the post-season in a difficult AFC. It was a slow start to the season for Burrow and the Bengals, but they’re trending in the right direction in recent weeks. Offensively, this team’s identity is clear: Throw, throw, throw. Through 10 weeks of the NFL season, the Bengals rank second in the NFL in neutral pass rate, throwing at a 64% clip when games are within one score. On the year, they also rank #1 in pass rate over expectation (+9.5%). Now on the road as a four-point underdog, we shouldn’t expect that to change at all. It’s also worth pointing out that the Bengals have dialed up their pass rate to a league-leading 73% when trailing by at least a FG this year. If this Vegas spread is correct, we should expect Burrow to be dropping back over and over again on Thursday night.

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