DFS First Look Pricing for Week 11 (Fantasy Football)
Last week was by far the chalkiest week of DFS I’ve seen in a long time. Mike Davis‘ misprice on both sites made him 80+ percent rostered in cash and Aaron Jones skyrocketed to 50+ percent. With both of those options failing, there were a lot of tournament-winning lineups that zigged while everyone else had locked in the zag. Oh, and don’t get me started on tight-ends from last week. Rob Gronkowski was the TE1… with two catches. It’s rough out there folks.
Each week see movement and fluctuation in prices. Like any type of market, some changes are needed, some are overcorrections, and some salaries are just downright wrong. Player pricing on the major DFS platforms is available to us well before we even start our process of building lineups and allows us to identify the inefficiencies, a tool within the toolbelt of someone who wants to win consistently in DFS.
With Russell Wilson & Kyler Murray dueling on Thursday night, Josh Allen on bye, and Patrick Mahomes off the main slate, this week will be interesting with QB roster percentages. Last week, Kyler was the uber chalk coming in over 50 percent in cash lineups. This week will feel a bit more flat.
DraftKings: Lamar Jackson ($7,300) is ever so tempting and as the QB1, he’s cheaper than most… Justin Herbert ($6,800) is averaging 26.2 DK points per contest which give him a ridiculously high floor against the Jets. He’s the QB2 on FanDuel!.. You probably know by now but Matt Ryan ($6,800) is always in play on DraftKings. In 23 career games, Ryan has averaged 298 passing yards and 1.9 TDs per game against his division rival Saints… Ben Roethlisberger ($6,700) has the Steelers at 9-0 for the first time in franchise history. He’s also been taking care of the football sporting a healthy TD to INT ratio (22:4) and now gets to take on the lowly Jaguars… At the bottom of the barrel, I’m intrigued by Alex Smith. The veteran is just $5,300 and acquires his yards through sheer volume. Last week he threw the ball 55(!) times finishing with 390-scoreless passing yards.