NFL DFS First Look Pricing for Super Bowl LVI (Fantasy Football)
Player pricing on the major DFS platforms is available to us well before we even start our process of building lineups and allows us to identify the inefficiencies, a tool within the toolbelt of someone who wants to win consistently in DFS. For the complete list of DraftKings and FanDuel prices, check out this week’s DFS rankings found in the Ultimate DFS Pass.
Make sure you listen to this week’s Fantasy Footballers DFS Podcast coming out on Friday!
Showdown Strategy Thoughts
Betz and I spent an entire DFS episode leading up to this week refreshing some of the game theory behind Showdown slates. Playing a Showdown slate is incredibly different than the DFS you have likely been soaking up for the 2021 season.
What site am I playing on? DraftKings “captain spot” operates on a premium salary basis multiplying the player’s salary times 1.5 and their fantasy points by 1.5. On FanDuel, the “MVP” spot only is a points multiplier. Thus, we can’t always compare apples to apples across both sites. There is an opportunity cost playing Cooper Kupp at $17,400 on DK knowing you likely will have to find a cheap option somewhere on your roster. However, on FanDuel, it is just a straight salary game and finding the highest points per dollar.
Do I need to look at positions? Because Showdown slates deal with every single player as a FLEX, it can be easy to disregard traditional position allocation in DFS. Theoretically, you could have Joe Burrow with three WRs and not even think twice about it. But the combinations are endless despite only having to fulfill six spots.
Who is your captain? Guess this right, and you my friends have simply opened the first door to taking down a tournament. The multiplier of 1.5 tells a partial story as roster percentages need to be taken into account. Here is a rough projection of what historically DraftKings Showdown games like this one look like:
- QB- 60+ percent
- RB1- 20 percent
- RB2- < 5 percent
- WR1- 10-15 percent
- WR2- < 3 percent
- TE- < 3 percent
- DEF- < 5 percent
Notice that TE is usually a contrarian position for Showdown slates but with both starting TEs likely not able to play, you can basically can cancel them out for consideration. The WR1 & WR2 options are where you gain the most leverage and one of my favorite spots to attack on Showdown slates especially on a full PPR site with bonuses like DraftKings.
What type of game script are you running with? I will discuss all the different outcomes in the Pace of Play article coming out on Wednesday.