Patrick Mahomes vs. Houston $7,500
I don’t think anyone’s happier that the Texans advanced in the playoffs than Patrick Mahomes. Mahomes has averaged 22.5 FP/G this season and ranks second among the QBs this slate in DVOA (Lamar Jackson). This week, he hosts a Houston team that ranks 26th in DVOA against the pass and has allowed the 2nd-most FP/G to opposing QBs this season with 30.25. Despite an average throw depth of 9.6 yards, Mahomes ranks 2nd in the league in passes that are 20 or more yards down the field, completing a massive 56.5% of them. The Chiefs are favored by 9.5 points with an implied point total of 30.25 points.