DFS Monday Night Football: DraftKings for Week 15 (Fantasy Football)
DK Lines – MIA @ PIT
Spread: PIT -3
Total: 42.5
Team Totals: PIT 22.75, MIA 19.75
DK Sportsbook: The public doesn’t believe in the Fins and their four-game win streak, with 73% of the ML bets on the Steelers and 66% of the handle on the Steelers -3. The O/U is basically a coin flip, with 51% of the bets coming in on the Under.
Social Books: As of 9 a.m. Eastern on December 15th, sentiment is different on Novig: Miami +2.5, has $7k available to be matched. It also matches the major books on the Under with an eyebrow-raising $11k available. What this means: the public likes the Dolphins to keep it close and a low-scoring game. ProphetX is split on all bets, with everything as a coin flip at the time of this writing.
Injuries: None
IR/Out:
- Jason Sanders – IR
- Alexander Mattison – IR
- Tyreek Hill – IR
CPT Plays
De’Von Achane $19,200 | FLEX $12,800
View Achane like you do CMC. The metrics and playability in both the run and pass game are similar. Both are the only two backs with a target share greater than 20%. The Steelers do a solid job of controlling RB scoring, but Achane is basically matchup-proof. Talking props with Betz, he pointed out that since Week 9, PIT morphed into a run funnel:
- 29th in EPA per rush, 24th in success rate
- 6th in EPA per drop back and 7th in D success rate.
Stack Idea: 2 MIA/4 PIT – CPT Achane with Greg Dulcich and A Rod with Metcalf + two PIT players.
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